Saturday, November 6, 2010

Week 9 Pick'em

Bears @ Bills (+3)
The Bills have lost the last two games in overtime, proof that this team is still competing despite its 0-7 record.  Buffalo is ranked last in rush defense allowing 188 yards per game.  Good thing Chicago’s rush offence is no better (27th averaging 88 yards per game).  Buffalo has allowed 15 passing touchdowns and only have one interception this year (early Christmas for Cutler).  
Vs Spread: Bears (-3)
Straight Up: Bears

Chargers @ Texans (+3)
The key here will be the health of Antonio Gates.  If he plays the Chargers should come away with the win.  If not, I just don’t know if there are enough weapons for Phil Rivers to make plays.  I’ll go with the Chargers but check back before kickoff.
Vs Spread: Chargers (-3)
Straight Up: Chargers

Saints @ Panthers (+6.5)
The Saints dressed up as their former selves last Sunday for Halloween.  Was it a special occasion or are they getting back into rhythm on offence?  Either way the Panthers give me no reason to expect an upset.
Vs Spread: Saints (-6.5)
Straight Up: Saints

Cardinals @ Vikings (-8)
The Cardinals should have never gotten rid of Matt Leinart.  They have the worst quarterbacks in the league now and even if Favre shows up in a wheelchair, the Vikings will beat the Cardinals.  As always, expect Adrian Peterson to run angry this weekend.
Vs Spread: Vikings (-8)
Straight Up: Vikings

Bucs @ Falcons (-8.5)
The Buc stops here.  Matt Ryan doesn’t lose in the Georgia Dome and the Falcons just have more talent all over the field than the Bucs.  They’ll play the Falcons close, but this game will mark the beginning of Tampa’s second half slide.
Vs Spread: Bucs (+8.5)
Straight Up: Falcons

Jets @ Lions (+4.5)
There are a lot of intriguing matchups in this game.  First and foremost Megatron makes his first visit to Revis Island.  No doubt Revis is a great player, but I expect Calvin to take this opportunity to show everyone just how good he is.  The Lions are 6-1 against the spread this year.  Jets receivers considerably outmatch the Lions Secondary.
Vs Spread: Lions (+4.5)
Straight Up: Jets

Dolphins @ Ravens (-5)
The Dolphins are undefeated on the road so far this season but they are travelling to Baltimore, a notoriously tough place to play.  The addition of Ed Reed is huge to the Ravens and I’ll be on him over Chad Henne.
Vs Spread: Dolphins (+5)
Straight Up: Ravens

Patriots @ Browns (+4.5)
Some analysts have mentioned that Eric Mangini’s knowledge of the Patriots will help him in this game.  I’d argue Bill Belichick’s knowledge of Eric Mangini is a bigger advantage.  The Patriots rarely underestimate teams and they know they need to stay ahead of the Jets and Dolphins.
Vs Spread: Patriots (-4.5)

Giants @ Seahawks (+7)
The Seahawks play much better football at home and their secondary is playing extremely well.  Earl Thomas may be the x-factor in this game.  I expect the Giants to win, but the Seahawks should cover a touchdown.
Vs Spread: Seahawks (+7)
Straight Up: Giants

Chiefs @ Raiders (-1)
Both teams run the football extremely well (1 and 2 in the NFL).  The Chiefs stop the run, the Raiders don’t.  I also think the Chiefs coaching staff is stronger than the Raiders (not physically, settle down Cable).  
Vs Spread: Chiefs (+1)
Straight Up: Chiefs

Colts @ Eagles (-3)
Mike Vick returns, but he faces a stiff challenge.  Say what you want about the Colts defense, but they are FAST.  Don’t expect Vick to have many big runs.  Peyton Manning came in at #8 in NFL Network’s countdown of the top 100 players of all time.  Ya, I’ll go with him.
Vs Spread: Colts (+3)
Straight Up: Colts

Cowboys @ Packers (-7)
It’s too bad because before the season this looked like a great Sunday nighter.  The Cowboys were pathetic last week against the Jaguars and that was at home.  Maybe the fact that they are on the road and are out of the playoff hunt will let them play loose.  That should’ve been the case last week against a much weaker Jags team.
Vs Spread: Packers (-7)
Straight Up: Packers

Steelers @ Bengals (+5)
This is a must-win game for the Bengals if they want to salvage the season.  For the first time this season, the Steelers looked average last Sunday night in New Orleans.  I think they’ll rebound in this hard-hitting affair.
Vs Spread: Bengals (+5)
Straight Up: Steelers

Season Straight Up: 62-55
Season vs Spread: 51-59-5

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