Friday, November 18, 2011

Week 11 Pick'em

Season Record 99-47 (#1 out of all ESPN Analysts)

Jacksonville @ Cleveland

Although the Browns are at home, the Jags run the ball extremely well and the Browns allow 143yds/game. Losing Rashean Mathis is an issue for the Jags but they can grind out a win.

Pick: Jaguars

Carolina @ Detroit
The Lions are coming off a bye week and have a very difficult schedule coming up. Long story short, if they can’t win this won, they won’t make the playoffs and you can bet Jim Schwartz has made that very clear to his team.

Pick: Lions

Tampa Bay @ Green Bay
The Buccaneers struggles this season can only be attributed to a young team going through a slump. They play their best football when they can mix up run and pass. Unfortunately they head to Green Bay where they will fall behind early and Freeman will have to go toe-to-toe with Rodgers.

Pick: Packers

Buffalo @ Miami
In the last month, these two teams have gone in different directions. Are the Bills nervous about the money they tied up in Fitzpatrick? They will be if they drop this one.

Pick: Bills

Oakland @ Minnesota
This should be a good game. Two teams that like to run the ball and utilize play-action. I’d like to pick the upset, but here’s the thing: the Vikings offensive play-calling has been atrocious this season and is one of the stories that has not gotten nearly enough publicity. How you end up in multiple 3rd and 20 situations with a rookie quarterback up against the defending world champions is ridiculous when you have Adrian Peterson.

Pick: Raiders

Dallas @ Washington
The Cowboys have found a starting running back and that will take some of the attention off other skill players like Dez Bryant and Jason Witten. The Redskins have been more competitive this year than last but they need a bona fide starting QB.

Pick: Cowboys

Cincinnati @ Baltimore
The Bengals are without Leon Hall and the Ravens are without Ray Lewis. It’s not exactly an even trade off but the Bengals will be hard pressed to go into Baltimore and get a road win. The Ravens need to keep pace with the Steelers.

Pick: Ravens

Seattle @ St. Louis
A tough one to pick as both teams have been wildly inconsistent. The Seahawks beat the Ravens and the Rams beat the Saints within the last month.

Pick: Rams

Arizona @ San Francisco
John Skelton could play himself into a starting role with another performance like last week. That will be tough to do on the road against a Niners team that has not had a let down game yet this season. Remember the only reason they aren’t undefeated is due to that Overtime loss to Dallas.

Pick: 49ers

Tennessee @ Atlanta
This is by no means a cake walk for the Falcons as the Titans are a quality football club. Similar situation to the Lions in that they just can’t afford to lose this game.

Pick: Falcons

San Diego @ Chicago
Phil Rivers has struggled this season. I can’t imagine he will revert to his old self against a very tough Bears defense on the road.

Pick: Bears

Philadelphia @ New York
This could be an interesting game. The Eagles are now out of the playoff picture which could mean they come in and play loose. The Giants are at home in front of a national TV audience with a chance to put the final nail in the coffin against a divisional opponent. That’s a decent amount of pressure.

Pick: Eagles

Kansas City @ New England
Umm…..Tyler Palko.

Pick: Patriots

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