Super Bowl Pre-Kickoff Analysis

Why you shouldn't bet on the Patriots

- They only won 2 games this year over teams with a winning record (Broncos & Ravens last week)

- They have the 31st ranked defence 

- Star TE Rob Gronkowski is playing on a severely injured ankle

- They've lost to a very similar Giants team 4 years ago

Why you should bet on the Patriots

- You may have heard of their QB, Tom Brady

- Their Coach isn't too bad either (also one of the all time greats)

- They rarely lose when given a shot at 'redemption'

- They're better prepared for the Giants pass rush than in 2007

Why you shouldn't bet on the Giants

- Their secondary is suspect and haven't covered very well throughout the playoffs

- They are the Vegas underdogs (never wrong to take the favourite)

- Despite Manning, their offence isn't as good as the Patriots

Why you should bet on the Giants

- Eli Manning has been the best in the 4th quarter this season

- The Giants have a better defence than the Patriots

- They match-up well against the Patriots on offence

My Picks?

The Patriots aren't as good as they were in 2007.  The Giants are actually slightly better than they were in 2007.  So why am I picking the Patriots?  Because in 2007, The Pats offence was predicated on Randy Moss going deep.  That took too much time and the Giants pass rush was able to get to Brady 5 times.  Now, the Patriots offence is built around quick passes and features the two great young Tight Ends.  Match-ups are key and Brady will utilize the quick passing game to neutralize the Giants pass rush.  Expect a lot of balance on both sides right from the get go.

Patriots 33  Giants 30

Prop picks:
MVP: Tom Brady
Non-QB MVP: Victor Cruz
Team to score first: Giants
Player to score first: Brandon Jacobs

Enjoy!